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How the numbers are made

Community activity, a written claim about why it matters, then a business result. Nothing skips the middle step.

  1. Community signal

    What happened

    Posts, answers, attendance, commits. Counted, deduplicated, traceable back to the source.

  2. Bridge metric

    Why you think it matters

    Your claim, written down and printed on the screen, where anyone in the room can disagree with it.

  3. Business result

    What the business already tracks

    Customer retention, referrals, support deflection. Priced with your numbers and owned by a named team.

A worked example, with illustrative figures

Community signal

1,180 questions answered by members

Bridge metric

Members resolve 34% of questions, up from 29%

The claim: a question answered in the forum is a ticket that never opens.

Business result

Support deflection worth $47K

Priced at your $40 per question answered. It counts at the low end once the bridge is corroborated.

Why we don't compare members to everyone else

The people who join a community were already your most engaged customers. Comparing them to everyone else credits the community with something it did not cause. So each bridge is judged by timing instead: does a member's business result follow their own community activity, within 90 days, more often than chance would put it there?

A simulation we ran where we knew the real answer was +15%

Members compared to everyone else +62% to +72%

TribeROI never prices a bridge on that comparison.

What a bridge can come back as

Hypothesised
Authored, and waiting on enough data to test.
Instrumented
The data is there. Not yet judged.
Corroborated
The evidence backs the claim.
Refuted
Tested, and the evidence does not back it.
Not enough evidence
Too early to call it either way.

Three rules

  • Community activity never connects straight to a business result. A written claim always sits in between.
  • Every dollar figure comes from a number you gave us.
  • You get a range whenever the method leaves room for one. The low end counts only claims the evidence backs; that is the figure for finance.